The Effect of Money Supply and Inflation on Banking Subsector Stock Prices During the 2020–2024 Period

Authors

  • Baiq Indah Farhana Politeknik Negeri Jakarta
  • Annisa Alifa Ramadhani Politeknik Negeri Jakarta

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32493/eaj.v8i3.y2025.p370-378

Keywords:

Money Supply, Inflation, Stock Prices, Banking Sub-Sector

Abstract

The 2020-2024 period was marked by the COVID-19 pandemic and economic recovery policies that caused fluctuations in the money supply, inflation, and stock prices, particularly in the banking subsector. This study aims to analyze the effect of the money supply and inflation on stock prices in the banking subsector using monthly data. The method used was quantitative with a total sampling technique on 16 banking companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The analysis was conducted using panel data regression with the help of EViews 13 software. The results showed that the money supply and inflation had a positive and significant effect on stock prices, both partially and simultaneously. The model was able to explain 81.28% of the variation in stock prices through these two variables.

References

Almughni, M. A. A., & Aji, T. S. (2022). Pengaruh variabel moneter terhadap indeks harga saham sektor keuangan. BanKu: Jurnal Perbankan dan Keuangan, 3(1). https://doi.org/10.37058/banku.v3i1.4982

Aditya, & Arafat, F. (2025). Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia, Jumlah Uang Beredar dan Tingkat Inflasi Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Indonesia. JEMSI (Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen Dan Akuntansi), 11(2), 858–868. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.35870/jemsi.v11i2.3933

Asteriou, D., & Hall, S. G. (2021). Applied econometrics (4th ed.). Red Globe Press. https://api.pageplace.de/preview/DT0400.9781352012033_A42593882/preview-9781352012033_A42593882.pdf?

Beretta, E. (2023). Monetary aggregates in the US since 2020 and post-COVID-19 inflation: A quantity theory of money approach. Economic and Business Letters, 12(1), 31–41. https://savearchive.zbw.eu/bitstream/11159/652782/1/1878012541_0.pdf

Dewi, I. P. (2020). Pengaruh inflasi, kurs, dan harga minyak dunia terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, 17(1).

Ferayani, M. D., & Dewi, L. P. S. J. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Solvabilitas, Likuiditas, Investasi Dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Laba Di Sektor Perbankan Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2018-2022. Jurnal Daya Saing, 9(3), 637–646. https://doi.org/10.35446/dayasaing.v9i3.1489

Indri dan Joviles (2024) Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga Dan Nilai Tukar Rupiah Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk Periode 2013-2023 https://jurnal.dharmawangsa.ac.id/index.php/bisnet/article/view/4828

Linne Kainde & Gracellah Sheryl Karnoto (2021). Pengaruh Jumlah Uang Beredar, Inflasi, dan Nilai Tukar terhadap Return Saham Bank Umum (2014–2018), Klabat Journal of Management. https://doi.org/10.60090/kjm.v2i1.557

Maronrong, R. M. & Nugrhoho, K. (2019). Pengaruh Inflasi, Suku Bunga dan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Harga Saham: Studi Kasus Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Otomotif Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2012–2017. Jurnal STEI Ekonomi, 26(02), 277–295. https://doi.org/10.36406/jemi.v26i02.38

Riyanti, Y. E., & Syafri, S. (2022). Pengaruh jumlah uang beredar, suku bunga dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap tingkat inflasi di Indonesia. Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia, 7(7). https://doi.org/10.36418/syntax-literate.v7i7.8774

Siburian, D. J., Yuni, R., Siregar, H. M., Azizah, L. N., Wijaya, M. F., & Simanjuntak, T. F. (2023). Pengaruh inflasi dan kurs terhadap investasi di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Madani: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin, 1(11), 916–926. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10395770

Sugiyono. (2016). Metode Penelitian Kuantitatif, Kualitatif, dan R&D. Alfabeta “Koefisien determinasi digunakan untuk mengukur seberapa besar persentase variasi variabel terikat dapat dijelaskan oleh variasi variabel bebas.” https://123dok.com/article/koefisien-determinasi-uji-hipotesis-metode-penelitian.z1d7v2wp#google_vignette

Wahyuni, S., Jaya, H., Siregar, H. (2023). Pengaruh Tingkat Inflasi, Suku Bunga dan Laba Terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Perbankan di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2017‑2021. EQUILIBIRIA: Jurnal Fakultas Ekonomi, Vol. 10 No. 1. https://www.journal.unrika.ac.id/index.php/equi/article/view/5422

Wikipedia. (n.d.). Teori kuantitas uang. Wikipedia.Org. Retrieved May 8, 2025, from https://id.wikipedia.org/wiki/Teori_kuantitas_uang

Yusuf, M. M. (2019). Pengaruh inflasi, jumlah uang beredar dan investasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Indonesia. Jurnal Pembangunan dan Pemerataan, 8(4). https://jurnal.untan.ac.id/index.php/jcc/article/view/36558

Additional Files

Published

2025-09-30