A Predictive Model for Urban Agglomeration Development in East Kalimantan Province Using Cluster Analysis

Authors

  • Anita Claudia Novedy Urban and Regional Planning Study Program, Malang Institute of Technology https://orcid.org/0009-0007-6666-6218
  • Ibnu Sasongko Urban and Regional Planning Study Program, Malang National Institute of Technology
  • Endratno Budi Santosa Urban and Regional Planning Study Program, Malang Institute of Technology
  • Firman Afrianto East Java Provincial Planning Experts Association https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9369-8713

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.32493/jtsi.v8i2.54092

Keywords:

Urban Agglomerations, DBSCAN Algorithm, Geographic Information Systems, Urban Growth

Abstract

The development of the new capital in East Kalimantan Province is guided by agglomeration as a strategic
framework, aiming to reduce regional disparities and maintain a balance between the central area and its
surrounding regions. This strategy is reinforced by the development of the transportation sector, which
provides the foundation for both geographic and administrative connectivity across regions. The
concentration of activities, including industry, trade, government, and infrastructure, is a key driver of
economic growth and regional development. This study employs a quantitative approach supported by
Geographic Information Systems (GIS), specifically the DBSCAN algorithm, using a road network
shapefile (.shp) as the primary data. The results of the analysis show that Bontang, Balikpapan, and
Samarinda City function as the trigger nodes driving regional activity concentration and growth, with
development trends expanding towards the north and west. Predictive analysis using DBSCAN at distances
of 1,600–2,400 meters indicates that 9 out of 10 regions in East Kalimantan Province have formed new
growth centers, except that Mahakam Ulu Regency has not yet shown signs of urban agglomeration.

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Published

2025-04-01

How to Cite

Novedy, A. C., Sasongko, I., Santosa, E. B., & Afrianto, F. (2025). A Predictive Model for Urban Agglomeration Development in East Kalimantan Province Using Cluster Analysis. Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi Dan Aplikasi, 8(2), 138–149. https://doi.org/10.32493/jtsi.v8i2.54092

Issue

Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Teknologi Sistem Informasi dan Aplikasi

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Article

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Copyright (c) 2025 Anita Claudia Novedy, Ibnu Sasongko, Endratno Budi Santosa, Firman Afrianto

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