Government Officially Revokes PPKM Policy: Stock Market Investment Decisions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.32493/skt.v7i1.29971Keywords:
Behaviour, Investment, PPKM, Return, Trading VolumeAbstract
The aim of this study is to examine the effect of behavioural biases from investors on investment decision before and after government officially revokes PPKM in Indonesia. This study is quantitative research which relies on numerical data. Data used in this research are secondary data for trading volume from November 2022 until February 2023 of companies listed on LQ45. This study also examines the difference in trading volume before and after revoking of PPKM, hence this’s event study. The results showed that investors’ behaviours have significant effect to trading volume before and after government officially revokes PPKM. On average, total trading volume is higher after the announcement from the government, 92,174,703 shares before the announcement and 110,020,882 shares after the announcement. Reflecting on this amount, since many community activities were hampered when the PPKM policy was implemented, after the termination of the policy, investors become more optimistic about investing in the capital market. This study provides valuable insights into the irrational behaviour of investors in Indonesia. It is worth mentioning that trading activities in stock exchanges mostly remain an anomaly. Further investigations can be made using the other measurements of behavioral biases in the stock market.
References
Adicandra, G. R., and Desmiza (2022). Analysis of Differences in Share Return, Trading Volume Activity and Bid-Ask Spread of Share Before and After the Announcement of Emergency Community Activities Restrictions Enforcement (PPKM): Study on Transportation Sector Companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal of Management and Technology. 2(1), 54-63.
Adriatama, I., and Rahadi, R. A. (2021). Effect of Governmental Announcement and Decisions during Covid-19 on Indonesian Sectoral Indexes. Jurnal Manajemen Dan Kewirausahaan. 23(1), 61–75.
Ady, S. U., and Hidayat, A. (2019). Do Young Surabaya‘s Investors Make Rational Investment Decisions? International Journal Of Scientific & Technology Research, 8(07).
Afdhal, M., Mayapada, A. G., and Septian, S. (2022). Do the Covid-19 Pandemic Affect Abnormal Returns of Stocks In Indonesia?. Academy of Entrepreneurship Journal. 28(6).
Al-Awadhi, A.M., Al-Saifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A. and Alhamadi, S. (2020). Death and Contagious Infectious Diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 Virus on Stock Market Returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance. 27.
Alfaro, L., Chari, A., Greenland, A.N. and Schott, P.K. (2020). Aggregate and Firm-Level Stock Returns during Pandemics, in Real Time. Working Paper No. w26950, National Bureau of Economic Research, Massachusetts.
Ali, M., Anwar, U., and Haseeb, M. (2021). The Impact of Covid-19 on Islamic and Conventional Stocks in Indonesia: A Wavelet-Based Study. Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Special Issue. 15–32.
Alzyadat, J. A., and Asfoura, E. (2021). The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market: An Empirical Study in Saudi Arabia. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business. 8(5), 0913–0921.
Anh, D. L. T., and Gan, C. (2020). The Impact of the COVID-19 Lockdown on Stock Market Performance: Evidence from Vietnam. Journal of Economic Studies.
Arditti, F. D. (1967). Risk and the Required Return on Equity. The Journal of Finance. 22(1), 19-36.
Ashraf, B. N. (2020). Stock markets’ reaction to COVID-19: Cases or fatalities? Research in International Business and Finance, 54, 101249.
Bekaert, G., & Harvey, C. (1997). Emerging Equity Market Volatility. Journal of Financial Economics, 43, 29-77.
Brigham, Eugene F. & Houston, Joel F. (2011). Dasar-dasar Manajemen Keuangan. Terjemahan. Edisi 10. Jakarta: Salemba Empat.
Darmadji, T., & Fakhruddin. (2012). Pasar Modal di Indonesia (4th ed.). Salemba Empat.
Fama, E. 1970. Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance. 25(2): 383-417.
Fama, E. 1998. Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance. Journal of Financial Economics. 49(3): 283-306
Hardiyanti, (2021). Market Reaction to the Announcement of Covid-19: Event Study in Indonesia. Journal Digmensie Management and Public Sector. 2(2), 25-32.
Hartono, J. (2017). Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis. Eleventh Edition. Yogyakarta: BPFE
He, Q., Liu, J., Wang, S. and Yu, J. (2020). The Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Markets. Economic and Political Studies. 8(3), 1-14.
Hersugondo, Karim, A., and Rouf, A. (2021). Map of Return of Shares and Volume Activity Trading of Companies in Indonesia on the Pandemic Time of COVID-19. Media Ekonomi dan Manajemen. 36(2), 156-169.
Hong, H., Bian, Z., and Lee, C. C. (2021). COVID‑19 and Instability of Stock Market Performance: Evidence from the U.S. Financial Innovation.
Husain, T., & Sunardi, N. (2020). Firm's Value Prediction Based on Profitability Ratios and Dividend Policy. Finance & Economics Review, 2(2), 13-26.
Inggrida, N., Setiawan, T., and Veny. (2023). Performa Keuangan yang memengaruhi Nilai Perusahaan pada Saham Kategori LQ45 Periode 2019-2021. Jurnal Ekonomi & Ekonomi Syariah, 6(1).
Jogiyanto (2017). Teori Portofolio dan Analisis Investasi Edisi Kesebelas. Yogyakarta, BPFE.
Kadim, A., & Sunardi, N. (2022). Financial Management System (QRIS) based on UTAUT Model Approach in Jabodetabek. International Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research, 6(1).
Kasoga, P. S. (2021). Heuristic Biases and Investment Decisions: Multiple Mediation Mechanisms of Risk Tolerance and Financial Literacy—A Survey at the Tanzania Stock Market. Journal of Money and Business, 1(2). 102-116.
Kim, K.A. and Nofsinger, J.R. (2007). The Behavior of Japanese Individual Investors During Bull and Bear Markets. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 8(3), 138-153.
Kufanda, M. R., and Intriani, B. E. (2022). The Impact of Implementation of the Community Activity Restrictions Policy on the Reaction of the Capital Market in Indonesia. International Journal of Social Science and Business. 6(1). 34-38.
Lin, H. W. (2017). Elucidating Rational Investment Decisions and Behavioral Biases: Evidence from the Taiwanese Stock Market. African Journal of Business Management, 5(5), 1630-1641
Lina, Hesniati and Robin, (2022). Stock Return Effect during Covid-19: Evidence from Indonesia. Journal of Applied Business and Economic (JABE). 8(3), 290-301.
Mangindaan, J. V., Manossoh, H., and Walangitan, O. F. C. (2022). The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Prices: An Empirical Study of State-Owned Enterprises in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business. 9(3), 0337–0346.
Mishra, P. K., & Mishra, S. K. (2020). Corona Pandemic and Stock Market Behaviour: Empirical Insights from Selected Asian Countries. Millennial Asia, 11(3), 341–365.
Mushinada, C.N.V. (2020). Are Individual Investors Irrational or Adaptive to Market Dynamics?. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 25(1), 1-8.
Narayan, P. K., Phan, D. H. B., & Liu, G. (2021). COVID-19 Lockdowns, Stimulus Packages, Travel Bans, and Stock Returns. Finance Research Letters.
Nardi Sunardi Et Al (2020). Determinants of Debt Policy and Company’s Performance, International Journal of Economics and Business Administration Volume VIII Issue 4, 204-213
Oprean, C. and Tanasescu, C. (2014). Effects of Behavioural Finance on Emerging Capital Markets. Procedia Economics and Finance, 15(14), 1710-1716.
Pompian, M. M. (2006). Behavioral Finance and Wealth Management. How to Build Optimal Portfolios That Account for Investor Biases. John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Prijati, N. L. R. (2019). Perbedaan Harga Saham dan Volume Perdagangan Saham sebelum dan sesudah Stock Split. Jurnal Ilmu dan Riset Manajemen. 8.
Rashid, K., Tariq, Y. B., and Rehman, M. U. (2022). Behavioural Errors and Stock Market Investment Decisions: Recent Evidence from Pakistan. Asian Journal of Accounting Research, 7(2). 129-145.
Robin, R. (2021). Death Infectious: Impact of the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) on Stock Returns. Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura, 24(1), 95.
Ross, S.A. (1977). The Determination of Financial Structure: the Incentive-Signaling Approach. The Bell Journal of Economics. 8. 23-40.
Sastra, M. R. (2020). Capital Market Reaction to the Announcement of PSBB And PPKM Policies on Consumption Industry Companies listed on the IDX (Study on Food and Beverages Sector Companies). Asian Journal of Economics and Business Management. 1(2), 115–122.
Shukla, A., Rushdi, J.N. and Katiyar, C.R. (2020). Impact of Behavioral Biases on Investment Decisions: A Systematic Review. International Journal of Management, 11(4), 68-76.
Siswantoro, S. (2020). Efek diumumkannya Kasus Pertama Covid-19 terhadap Harga Saham dan Total Saham yang Diperdagangkan. Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan, Dan Manajemen. 1(3), 227–238.
Spence, M. (1973). Job Market Signaling. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 87(3), 355–374.
Sunardi, N., & Tatariyanto, F. . (2023). The Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic and Fintech Adoption on Financial Performance Moderating by Capital Adequacy . International Journal of Islamic Business and Management Review, 3(1), 102–118. https://doi.org/10.54099/ijibmr.v3i1.620
Tambunan, A. V. R., and Ugut, G. S. (2022). Stock Reactions and Abnormal Stock Returns in the Property Sector Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange due to the Covid-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Economics, Business and Accounting Research (IJEBAR). 6(2).
Tandelilin, E. (2017). Pasar Modal Manajemen Portofolio & Investasi. Yogyakarta: PT Kanisius.
Tandelilin, Eduardus. (2001). Analisis Dan Manajemen Portofolio. Edisi Pertama. Yogyakarta: BPFE
Tandelilin, Eduardus. 2010. Analisis Investasi dan Portofolio. Yogyakarta : Kanisius.
Thomas, R., and Tambunan, M. (2022). The Impact Of Covid-19 on Trade Volume and Stock Price Movements of Soes in the Construction Sector. Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti. 2(1), 47-58.
Tjondro, E., Hatane, S. E., Widuri, R., and Tarigan, J. (2023). Rational versus Irrational Behavior of Indonesian Cryptocurrency Owners in Making Investment Decision. Risks, 11(17).
Trinugroho, I., and Sembel, R. (2011). Overconfidence and Excessive Trading Behavior: An Experimental Study. International Journal of Business and Management, 6(7).
Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. (1992). Advances in Prospect Theory: Cumulative Representation of Uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4), 297-323
Utami, A. T. (2018). Efisiensi Pasar Bentuk Lemah Pada Pasar Modal Indonesia, Malaysia dan Korea Selatan Periode Krisis Ekonomi Global 2008. Jurnal Inspirasi Bisnis dan Manajemen. 2(2), 101–116.
Veny and Gunawan, Y. (2022). Perubahan Harga Saham Dilihat dari Faktor Fundamental Perusahaan Makanan dan Minuman. Jurnal Akuntansi Bisnis, 15(1), 52-60.
Veny, Angelene, D., and Junita, E. and (2022). Analisis Faktor Fundamental Terhadap Harga Saham Perusahaan Sektor Ritel Sebelum dan Selama Pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Studi Akuntansi dan Keuangan, 5(2), 180 – 192.
Waryati, S. Y., Widiyanti, N., Suwarni, M. G., and Nandhya, A. N. (2020). The Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Share Prices and Trade Volume of Shares in Indonesia Stock Exchange. Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research. 169.
Widoatmojo, S., & Toruan, R. L. (2004). Cara Cepat Memulai Investasi Saham: Panduan bagi Pemula. Elex Media Komputindo.
Wijaya, M., Hesnaiti, H., Robin, R., and Nainggolan, F. (2022). COVID-19 Outbreak Impact on Stock Return in Indonesia and Malaysia. Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan, 26(2), 436-447.
Xu, L. (2021). Stock Return and the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from Canada and the US. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101872.
Zhang, D., Hu, M. and Ji, Q. (2020). Financial Markets Under the Global Pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Open Access
Jurnal SEKURITAS (Saham, Ekonomi, Keuangan dan Investasi) is a national peer reviewed and open access journal that publishes significant and important research from all area of agroindustry.
This journal provides immediate open access to its content that making research publish in this journal freely available to the public that supports a greater exchange of knowledge.
Copyright
Submission of a manuscript implies that the submitted work has not been published before (except as part of a thesis or report, or abstract); that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere; that its publication has been approved by all co-authors. If and when the manuscript is accepted for publication, the author(s) still hold the copyright and retain publishing rights without restrictions. Authors or others are allowed to multiply article as long as not for commercial purposes. For the new invention, authors are suggested to manage its patent before published. The license type is CC-BY-SA 4.0.
Disclaimer
No responsibility is assumed by publisher and co-publishers, nor by the editors for any injury and/or damage to persons or property as a result of any actual or alleged libelous statements, infringement of intellectual property or privacy rights, or products liability, whether resulting from negligence or otherwise, or from any use or operation of any ideas, instructions, procedures, products or methods contained in the material therein.